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NFL Week 8 Start/Sits

Drew Lannin

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What the hell was that week 7?  Aaron Rodgers looked like himself again despite his mediocre at best receiving corps, Chase Edmonds and Kliff Kingsbury enraged David Johnson owners, Marvin Jones fit a season’s worth of production into one game while sitting on many people’s benches, Latavius Murray finally lived up to draft expectations and made us all question what we thought the Bears D is.

The Patriots D remains the most valuable fantasy asset relative to ADP and it isn’t even close.  Their ranks if they were other positions are: QB6, RB4, WR3, TE1.  Just unreal.  Fantasy players lucky enough to have them were thinking of using another D during this upcoming stretch of games, but suffice it to say, they must be rolled out every week until proven otherwise.  

Byes this week: Ravens, Cowboys

QUARTERBACK

Start of the Week:  Russel Wilson at Atlanta: Pretty simple formula here: QB + Falcons as opponent=fantasy points.  I’m so sorry Falcons fans, things just keep getting worse.  With injuries mounting up on both sides of the ball, Sanu to the Patriots, and Matt Ryan out for this game, I’m not sure how much of a fight the Falcons can put up.  Russell is already putting up MVP numbers, look for him to continue doing so against one of the worst pass defenses in the league.

Starts

Josh Allen vs Jacksonville: A repeat from last week, Allen should continue improving with his upcoming schedule.  Last week, Allen actually had his second turnover-free game of the season.  Granted, this was against the Dolphins, but it’s very encouraging to see from a generally turnover prone quarterback.  Look for Allen to be a low-end QB1 vs a Jags D that is decent, but not quite the same without Ramsey.

Matthew Stafford vs NYG:  Remember the narrative before the season that the Lions would be too run-heavy for the passing game to be fantasy relevant?  Mr. Stafford has something to say about that.  Surprisingly, he’s actually the QB 11 coming into this week.  The slew of quarterback injuries help his ranking a bit, but even then, Stafford has far surpassed most people’s expectations this season.  He was on fire last week with 364 yards and 4 touchdowns (all to Marvin Jones) last week against a tough Vikings D.  He gets a much easier opponent at home this week vs the Giants.  Matt should easily continue his top-tier play and maybe even involve more than just Marvin this time around.

Sits

Carson Wentz at Buffalo:  In what was likely the Eagles’ most important matchup to this point in the season, Wentz had a rough outing vs their division rival Cowboys.  It didn’t help Wentz that the Eagles fell behind 14-0 early and the Oline left him under constant duress.  To make matters worse, Wentz lost two fumbles and threw an interception for a career-high 3 turnovers.  There will be better days for Wentz, but this week isn’t likely to be one of them with a rough matchup in Buffalo against a Bills D that made Brady look pedestrian.

Jameis Winston at Tennessee:  I know proponents if Jameis will want to point to his gaudy yardage numbers and 12 touchdowns on the year.  That’s all great, but along with that, are his 10 interceptions and 5 fumbles on the season.  Winston’s like a box of chocolates, you never know what you’re gonna get.  While the theme of Jameis is unpredictability, a terrible outing should be predictable in Tennessee against a stingy Titans D.

Sleeper

Jared Goff vs Cincinatti: Welcome back to the startable QB world Mr. Goff.  As expected, Goff had a great bounce back game at home against the lowly Falcons after his horrible outing vs the 49ers.  Goff is at home against the Bengals who don’t really do much of anything well other than losing.  He should be a low-end QB1.

RUNNING BACK

Start of the Week: Aaron Jones/Jamaal Williams at Kansas City:  Last week’s start of the week was also against the Chiefs.  Royce was fine, but the Lindsay recommendation will likely be the worst one I’ve made all season.  As a Chiefs fan, I’m just as shocked as anyone else at how terrible Lindsay’s statline was that game.  At least I can take solace in the fact that he was universally seen as a great start last week, but I still feel bad that it turned out to be so wrong.  Considering the Packers have made more of an effort to run the ball this year and they aren’t trotting out the corpse of Flacco, I feel much more confident in their success than whatever the Broncos were doing.

Starts

Marlon Mack vs Denver: Mack has shown some flashes this season, mostly being held back by the typical wear and tear of an NFL season.  Coming off of a bye, against a reeling Denver team with seemingly no semblance of an offense, the Colts should have plenty of opportunity to control the clock with their run game.  Denver has been decent against the pass, but awful against even decent running teams.

Latavius Murray vs Arizona: Seven weeks into the season, Murray finally lives up to draft expectations.  I’m totally not bitter about dropping him a few weeks ago or anything.  With Kamara sidelined due to a high ankle sprain, Murray filled in admirably, against a normally stout Bears D in Chicago.  It’s worth noting that the Bears are missing Hicks from their Dline, who is arguably their most important player next to Mack.  The completely inept Bears offense giving the Defense no time off the field certainly doesn’t help either.  Even with these caveats, Murray was impressive and looks to continue this momentum vs a terrible Cardinals defense.

Sits

Devonta Freeman vs Seattle:  As of the writing of this article, the availability of Freeman for Week 8 is unknown.  I assume that he’ll be allowed to play, but considering he hit Aaron McDonald in the head and was ejected for it, it’s entirely possible that Freeman could be suspended for this game.  Even if he does play, he’s not someone you want to start unless you have literally no other options.  He’s already been one of the most inefficient runners this season, but now he’ll be without Matt Ryan due to injury and Mohammed Sanu due to trade.  The Seahawks also get interior lineman Jarran Reed back from suspension for this game.

Derrick Henry vs Tampa Bay:   I’ve actually been surprised at how well Henry has done this year.  Even when I keep doubting him due to his lack of pass catching and amount of short touchdowns he’s gotten this year, he keeps producing.  The Titans offense looked surprisingly improved with Tannehill under center, even though him and Marriot are basically the same.  The problem this week is Henry goes up against a Bucs D that is among the best against the run.

Sleeper

James White vs Browns:  There’s been plenty of good and bad with White this season.  Let’s get the bad over with first.  He’s far behind his touchdown production from last season, with only 1 touchdown this far.  He had 12 all of last season.  The good far outweighs the bad in White’s case.  Much like Kyler Murray early in the season, White is the biggest positive regression candidate for red zone touchdowns.  He’s had 11 targets inside that red zone, with only 1 having resulted in a touchdown.  Anyone who has been watching him has seen how close he’s come to scoring multiple times this season.  He’s also been one of the most consistent RBs this season, having posted 11.9-13.8 points in PPR scoring in every game but one.  He also led the Patriots in receptions with 7 last game.  Obviously White is far more valuable in any type of PPR scoring, so consider him a solid RB2 in those formats, but a TD dependant RB3-low end RB2 in standard.

WIDE RECEIVER

Start of the Week: Tyler Lockett at Atlanta:    Players involved in the passing game against the Falcons is a bit of a recurring theme.  It can’t be understated how bad the Falcons D and really team as a whole is.  Lockett gets a dream matchup here.

Starts

Allen Robinson vs LA Chargers:  Matt McGloin. Christian Hackenberg. Blake Bortles.  Mitch Trubisky.  Chase Daniel.  These are some of the average to absolute awful quarterbacks that Robinson has had the misfortune of catching passes from since college.  Myself and others have doubted him, but he keeps producing, despite the mediocrity surrounding him.  You’d be hard pressed to find a receiver playing better right now.  It’s just unfortunate that the situation around him is always less than ideal.  He belongs in lineups as a high-end WR2.

DJ Chark vs NY Jets:  Almost as popular as the baby shark song that totally original players name their fantasy teams after, Chark has been one of the biggest surprises this year.  While Dede Westbrook got all of the attention in the preseason, it’s been Chark putting up the numbers.  He’s been a WR1 over the first 7 weeks of the season and was added from the waivers wire in almost every league.  Last week was a rough matchup, but DJ should easily bounce back into the high-end WR2 to low-end WR1 discussion against a Jets team reeling after an embarrassment of a game on Monday night.

Sits

Tyler Boyd at LA Rams:  The talent of Tyler Boyd is undeniable and one would think he shouldn’t have much competition for targets.  Yet, somehow the inept Bengals find ways to feature a different receiver seemingly every week, without it being Boyd.  As I’ve said before, the Bengals are bad at pretty much everything.  Them playing on the road, with the newly acquired Jalen Ramsey likely to cover Boyd, means he is someone to avoid.  

Alshon Jeffery at Buffalo:  With Carson Wentz being someone to avoid this week, it stands to reason that his receivers aren’t projected to do so well either.  Buffalo is a terrible matchup for receivers, just as they are for quarterbacks.  There’s too many mouths to feed on the Eagles to begin with and with this game being played in Buffalo, Jeffery is someone to steer clear of this week.

Sleeper

John Brown vs Eagles:  One of the better late round values at the position, Brown has a stellar matchup this week vs secondary who rivals the Falcons for lack of ability against the pass.  Brown loves going deep and Josh Allen loves throwing a deep.  It’s a match made in heaven, with a matchup that allows them to do pretty much whatever they want in the air.  Brown should be a high-end WR2 with upside.

TIGHT END

Start

Kyle Rudolph at Redskins:  I know Rudolph the Red Zone reindeer has been more likely to make his owners red faces than anything, but this is as good of a time to use him as any.  Rudolph is coming off by far his best performance of the year last week, which coincided with Thielen’s 1st quarter exit in the same game.  Thielen has been rules out for Thursday’s game.  On top of that, the Redskins are one of the weakest opponents around.  If Rudolph is gonna do something, it’s in this game.

Sit

Greg Olsen at 49ers: After a strong start to the season, Olsen has cooled off immensely.  Even logging an unfortunate 0 against the Jags.  He had a decent bounceback game against the Bucs, but don’t expect much of anything on the road against one of the best defenses in the league.

D/St  

Starts

Steelers vs Dolphins

49ers vs Panthers

Rams vs Bengals

Vikings vs Redskins

Colts vs Broncos

Sits

Broncos at Colts

Jets vs Jaguars

Eagles at Bills

Packers at Chiefs

Drew Lannin is a nutritionist with a Bachelor's in Dietetics from Lincoln, Nebraska. He grew up watching Nebraska football and the Chiefs. He is currently finishing pre-reqs for a Masters in Genetic Counseling. He first started playing fantasy football after recommending Randy Moss to his dad during his rookie year. This lead to him being added as the co-commissioner to his dad's league, which started in 1984. He has been an avid fantasy player ever since, consuming as much data and articles as possible.

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Fantasy

2020 NFL Draft Guide w/ Injury Predictor

Jesse Morse M.D.

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Welcome! We are excited to present The 2020 Injury Draftguide, presented by The Fantasy Doctors and Sports Injury Predictor! This has been compiled by Dr. Jesse Morse and Mike Valverde.

This Draftguide will contain every piece of injury information you need to know about all the key players heading into the 2020 Fantasy Football season. There will be over 65 profiles, one profile for each player. The profiles will be comprised of tons of information to help you make the best decision whether or not you should draft a certain player.

Each profile will have 2 videos breaking down each player, one discussing their injuries, the other their performance and expectations (using PFF data) heading into 2020. Additionally there will be a review of the player’s injury history, the importance of these injuries as it pertains to future injuries, an injury ‘risk score’ (yes!), the player’s 2019 effectiveness (data review), complete player outlook as well as team stats to support the player’s outlook for 2020. Wow, that’s a lot of information for EACH player.

The profiles will help you answer important questions like:

How risky is this player heading into the 2020 NFL Season?

Is (insert player name here) fully recovered from his (insert injury here)?

How much will X injury in 2019 after this player in 2020 (from a Sports Medicine Doctor’s perspective)?

Can you give me a ‘Risk Score’ to compare the players to each other?

Is a certain player ‘Injury Prone?’

How well does this player project in 2020 based on new additions and 2019 performance?

Well guess what? I’m Dr. Jesse Morse, a Board-Certified Sports Medicine Physician, a member of The Fantasy Doctors, and I’ve written an all-inclusive Draftguide, along with some colleagues, to help you answer all of these questions and more.

We have collaborated with Sports Injury Predictor, whose massive NFL injury database provides us all the important details that are hard to find on the Internet. I see orthopedic and elite athletes during the day, and enjoy discussing and analyzing NFL players’ injuries at night and on the weekends! As an avid fantasy football player for over 2 decades myself, I know how to translate this into clear advice about whether or not to draft someone, or even start someone on a given week given the information that we know. I can help to cut through the medical mumbo-jumbo and provide a clear understanding of the injury, whether the player will be able to play, and how effective they will be on the field. Its like you have your own cheat sheet!

I’ve made this easy for you this year, you have 2 choices here. Either you purchase the whole draftguide, with over 65 player profiles or you decide you really only want one specific profile, and you buy just that one. Your choice!

You want a SAMPLE of one of the profile’s videos? Well, watch the videos below. Still not convinced? Keep scrolling down and get The Rashaad Penny profile for FREE!

Matthew Stafford injury video profile

Matthew Stafford performance video profile

Well, what are you waiting for? Join us NOW!

Get Draft Guide

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Fantasy

[FREE] Draft Profile- Rashaad Penny

Jesse Morse M.D.

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Compiled by Dr. Jesse Morse & Mike Valverde

Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Armein Penny just turned 24 years old and was born in Norwalk, California. His older brother Elijhaa is a fullback for the Giants. Rashaad had a very productive senior season at his local high school rushing for 2,004 yards and 41 touchdowns on 216 carries. He also caught 21 passes for 665 yards and another 10 touchdowns. 51 touchdowns is a ridiculous season. He chose to play his college football at FBS San Diego State University over BCS schools Boise State and Colorado State.

His freshman year, 2014, Penny did not get any rushing attempts, finishing the season with only two. In his sophomore year, he played in 14 games, rushing 61 times for 368 yards and 4 touchdowns. He finally started to get more opportunities in his junior year, rushing 135 times for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, adding 15 receptions for 224 yards and 3 more scores.

Finally in his senior year, 2017, Penny rushed 289 times for 2,248 yards, a very impressive 7.8 yards per carry and 23 touchdowns. He also caught 19 passes for 135 yards and 2 more tds.

Penny measured in at 5‘11“ tall and 220 pounds, running a 4.46-second 40-yard dash. The Seattle Seahawks chose Penny at the end of the first round in the 2018 NFL Draft. Penny played in 14 games as a rookie, rushing 85 times for 419 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also caught nine passes for 75 yards as well, missing two games with a knee injury.

Hoping to form a tandem with Chris Carson heading into the 2019 season, Penny was not given as many rushing opportunities as many had hoped. He struggled with injuries, injuring his hamstring in practice ahead of week three, and ended up missing three games as a result. Then, unfortunately, in Week 14, Penny suffered a torn ACL ending his season, discussed here.

Unfortunately, running backs who suffer torn ACL‘s (especially if they do it in the NFL) do not have the best return rate, at least in their first season back. Look at Dalvin Cook‘s 2018 season, and then compare to his 2019 season. Everyone always wants to point out how dominant Adrian Peterson was after his return from his torn ACL. But it is important to note that Peterson is the exception and not the rule.

Most running backs struggle in the first year after tearing the ACL. I think this is a combination of physical and mental. Regaining confidence in this newly built ligament takes time. The knee simply doesn’t respond as well as before the injury.

Some athletes describe a little bit more wiggle or ‘play’ with the new ligament. As good as modern medicine is, the ligament is never as good as the original. It’s not as tight, strong, or as flexible.

With the demands of the ACL in the modern NFL as a running back, often, these athletes struggle with the confidence to be able to cut with the aggressiveness that they will need to be effective. Suffering a torn ACL is not a deathblow to a running back’s career, but there are examples of players that struggled to return to form, including Jamaal Charles (at the end of his career), Darren Sproles, and Bishop Sankey.

The jury is still out on Derrius Guice, and they will be out for Penny as well. While WRs, QBs, and defensive players return to a level similar to their pre-injury effectiveness, RBs often struggle to return to full form.

When the Seattle Seahawks chose Rashaad Penny in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, they never thought that their 2017 seventh-round decision, Chris Carson would outperform him. However, that has been the situation. Penny has also struggled with injuries.

Even through difficult times, Penny has been a stable running back. His season total of 370 yards on 65 attempts while averaging 5.26 yards per carry (3rd) and a 2.05 YAC (11th) among 52 running backs with 150 carries or more.

After a Carson fumble and an expanded role in Weeks 12 and 13, Penny would put up 14-129-1 and 15-74-1, but unfortunately, Week 14 put an end to any progressions he was making when he tore his ACL.

Now in 2020, Penny could see the PUP list to start the season. He is only 24-years old, so his injury return time could be less. Even if he does return before Week 1, he will not only have to battle Carson but Carlos Hyde and rookie DeeJay Dallas. Throw in Travis Homer for good measure.

The Seahawks offensive line isn’t much better than it has been over the last few seasons. They will have three new starters. BJ Finney, at the center position, will compete with Joey Hunt. Damien Lewis, a third-round decision out of LSU, will step in for DJ Fluker. Seattle did sign Brandon Shell from the Jets, and he will replace Germain Ifedi. They run a gap-power offense.

Even with Russell Wilson working his magic, the Seahawks like to focus on the run. Whoever has the ball in their hands should be successful. However, there are just too many road bumps in front of Penny to make him a high priority or even a low one when it comes to draft day.

Final Prognosis:

Sports Injury Predictor calculates that Penny has a 53.8% chance of injury in 2020, which translates to missing about one game.

My injury risk for him is significantly higher, a 7 out of 10. Penny may struggle with a lack of burst and confidence in his knee.

Currently being drafted as the RB58, there is a chance that Penny surprises this year, as his backfield mate Chris Carson is also coming back from an equally significant injury, a hip fracture. I (Dr. Morse) would not be surprised if the Seahawks turn to a more passing offense as a result of these injuries.

The ACL plays such a significant role in the lower legs’ mobility and running that so many other issues and injuries can develop as a result of the decreased strength, range of motion, and confidence.

Hamstring injuries, meniscal tears, and MCL sprains are not uncommon as a result of a reconstructed knee. Data demonstrates that Penny is still at an increased risk for a second torn ACL. Up until two years from injury, the data shows that he has a 9% chance of re-tear of his recently repaired/built ligament and a 21% chance of tearing the opposite ACL.

There’s simply too much risk in Penny in 2020 for me (Dr. Morse). I’d much rather roll the dice with names in his range like Antonio Gibson, Chase Edmonds, Darrynton Evans, and Damien Harris. Cross Penny’s name off your draft board, and save yourself the trouble.

At this point (June 22), Penny is the RB56 and 182nd player off the board overall. The translation is that he is an RB5 or basic dart throw. Keep an eye on when or if he can make it back before the start of the season. For the most part, I (Mike) would leave as waiver wire fodder.

Injury Risk: High, 7/10.

Injury Video Link: https://youtu.be/YXPhr8g29kY 

Performance Video Link: https://youtu.be/dR-EogvgAWQ 

Like what you see? GET DRADT GUIDE HERE

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Fantasy

2020 Fantasy Football Draft Guide

Jesse Morse M.D.

Published

on

Welcome! We are excited to present The 2020 Injury Draftguide, presented by The Fantasy Doctors and Sports Injury Predictor! This has been compiled by Dr. Jesse Morse and Mike Valverde.

This Draftguide will contain every piece of injury information you need to know about all the key players heading into the 2020 Fantasy Football season. There will be over 65 profiles, one profile for each player. The profiles will be comprised of tons of information to help you make the best decision whether or not you should draft a certain player.

Each profile will have 2 videos breaking down each player, one discussing their injuries, the other their performance and expectations (using PFF data) heading into 2020. Additionally there will be a review of the player’s injury history, the importance of these injuries as it pertains to future injuries, an injury ‘risk score’ (yes!), the player’s 2019 effectiveness (data review), complete player outlook as well as team stats to support the player’s outlook for 2020. Wow, that’s a lot of information for EACH player.

The profiles will help you answer important questions like:

How risky is this player heading into the 2020 NFL Season?

Is (insert player name here) fully recovered from his (insert injury here)?

How much will X injury in 2019 after this player in 2020 (from a Sports Medicine Doctor’s perspective)?

Can you give me a ‘Risk Score’ to compare the players to each other?

Is a certain player ‘Injury Prone?’

How well does this player project in 2020 based on new additions and 2019 performance?

Well guess what? I’m Dr. Jesse Morse, a Board-Certified Sports Medicine Physician, a member of The Fantasy Doctors, and I’ve written an all-inclusive Draftguide, along with some colleagues, to help you answer all of these questions and more.

We have collaborated with Sports Injury Predictor, whose massive NFL injury database provides us all the important details that are hard to find on the Internet. I see orthopedic and elite athletes during the day, and enjoy discussing and analyzing NFL players’ injuries at night and on the weekends! As an avid fantasy football player for over 2 decades myself, I know how to translate this into clear advice about whether or not to draft someone, or even start someone on a given week given the information that we know. I can help to cut through the medical mumbo-jumbo and provide a clear understanding of the injury, whether the player will be able to play, and how effective they will be on the field. Its like you have your own cheat sheet!

I’ve made this easy for you this year, you have 2 choices here. Either you purchase the whole draftguide, with over 65 player profiles or you decide you really only want one specific profile, and you buy just that one. Your choice!

You want a SAMPLE of one of the profile’s videos? Well, watch the videos below. Still not convinced? Keep scrolling down and get The Rashaad Penny profile for FREE!

Matthew Stafford injury video profile

Matthew Stafford performance video profile

Well, what are you waiting for? Join us NOW!

Get Draft Guide

Continue Reading

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