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[FREE] Draft Profile- Rashaad Penny

Jesse Morse M.D.

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Compiled by Dr. Jesse Morse & Mike Valverde

Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Armein Penny just turned 24 years old and was born in Norwalk, California. His older brother Elijhaa is a fullback for the Giants. Rashaad had a very productive senior season at his local high school rushing for 2,004 yards and 41 touchdowns on 216 carries. He also caught 21 passes for 665 yards and another 10 touchdowns. 51 touchdowns is a ridiculous season. He chose to play his college football at FBS San Diego State University over BCS schools Boise State and Colorado State.

His freshman year, 2014, Penny did not get any rushing attempts, finishing the season with only two. In his sophomore year, he played in 14 games, rushing 61 times for 368 yards and 4 touchdowns. He finally started to get more opportunities in his junior year, rushing 135 times for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, adding 15 receptions for 224 yards and 3 more scores.

Finally in his senior year, 2017, Penny rushed 289 times for 2,248 yards, a very impressive 7.8 yards per carry and 23 touchdowns. He also caught 19 passes for 135 yards and 2 more tds.

Penny measured in at 5‘11“ tall and 220 pounds, running a 4.46-second 40-yard dash. The Seattle Seahawks chose Penny at the end of the first round in the 2018 NFL Draft. Penny played in 14 games as a rookie, rushing 85 times for 419 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also caught nine passes for 75 yards as well, missing two games with a knee injury.

Hoping to form a tandem with Chris Carson heading into the 2019 season, Penny was not given as many rushing opportunities as many had hoped. He struggled with injuries, injuring his hamstring in practice ahead of week three, and ended up missing three games as a result. Then, unfortunately, in Week 14, Penny suffered a torn ACL ending his season, discussed here.

Unfortunately, running backs who suffer torn ACL‘s (especially if they do it in the NFL) do not have the best return rate, at least in their first season back. Look at Dalvin Cook‘s 2018 season, and then compare to his 2019 season. Everyone always wants to point out how dominant Adrian Peterson was after his return from his torn ACL. But it is important to note that Peterson is the exception and not the rule.

Most running backs struggle in the first year after tearing the ACL. I think this is a combination of physical and mental. Regaining confidence in this newly built ligament takes time. The knee simply doesn’t respond as well as before the injury.

Some athletes describe a little bit more wiggle or ‘play’ with the new ligament. As good as modern medicine is, the ligament is never as good as the original. It’s not as tight, strong, or as flexible.

With the demands of the ACL in the modern NFL as a running back, often, these athletes struggle with the confidence to be able to cut with the aggressiveness that they will need to be effective. Suffering a torn ACL is not a deathblow to a running back’s career, but there are examples of players that struggled to return to form, including Jamaal Charles (at the end of his career), Darren Sproles, and Bishop Sankey.

The jury is still out on Derrius Guice, and they will be out for Penny as well. While WRs, QBs, and defensive players return to a level similar to their pre-injury effectiveness, RBs often struggle to return to full form.

When the Seattle Seahawks chose Rashaad Penny in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, they never thought that their 2017 seventh-round decision, Chris Carson would outperform him. However, that has been the situation. Penny has also struggled with injuries.

Even through difficult times, Penny has been a stable running back. His season total of 370 yards on 65 attempts while averaging 5.26 yards per carry (3rd) and a 2.05 YAC (11th) among 52 running backs with 150 carries or more.

After a Carson fumble and an expanded role in Weeks 12 and 13, Penny would put up 14-129-1 and 15-74-1, but unfortunately, Week 14 put an end to any progressions he was making when he tore his ACL.

Now in 2020, Penny could see the PUP list to start the season. He is only 24-years old, so his injury return time could be less. Even if he does return before Week 1, he will not only have to battle Carson but Carlos Hyde and rookie DeeJay Dallas. Throw in Travis Homer for good measure.

The Seahawks offensive line isn’t much better than it has been over the last few seasons. They will have three new starters. BJ Finney, at the center position, will compete with Joey Hunt. Damien Lewis, a third-round decision out of LSU, will step in for DJ Fluker. Seattle did sign Brandon Shell from the Jets, and he will replace Germain Ifedi. They run a gap-power offense.

Even with Russell Wilson working his magic, the Seahawks like to focus on the run. Whoever has the ball in their hands should be successful. However, there are just too many road bumps in front of Penny to make him a high priority or even a low one when it comes to draft day.

Final Prognosis:

Sports Injury Predictor calculates that Penny has a 53.8% chance of injury in 2020, which translates to missing about one game.

My injury risk for him is significantly higher, a 7 out of 10. Penny may struggle with a lack of burst and confidence in his knee.

Currently being drafted as the RB58, there is a chance that Penny surprises this year, as his backfield mate Chris Carson is also coming back from an equally significant injury, a hip fracture. I (Dr. Morse) would not be surprised if the Seahawks turn to a more passing offense as a result of these injuries.

The ACL plays such a significant role in the lower legs’ mobility and running that so many other issues and injuries can develop as a result of the decreased strength, range of motion, and confidence.

Hamstring injuries, meniscal tears, and MCL sprains are not uncommon as a result of a reconstructed knee. Data demonstrates that Penny is still at an increased risk for a second torn ACL. Up until two years from injury, the data shows that he has a 9% chance of re-tear of his recently repaired/built ligament and a 21% chance of tearing the opposite ACL.

There’s simply too much risk in Penny in 2020 for me (Dr. Morse). I’d much rather roll the dice with names in his range like Antonio Gibson, Chase Edmonds, Darrynton Evans, and Damien Harris. Cross Penny’s name off your draft board, and save yourself the trouble.

At this point (June 22), Penny is the RB56 and 182nd player off the board overall. The translation is that he is an RB5 or basic dart throw. Keep an eye on when or if he can make it back before the start of the season. For the most part, I (Mike) would leave as waiver wire fodder.

Injury Risk: High, 7/10.

Injury Video Link: https://youtu.be/YXPhr8g29kY 

Performance Video Link: https://youtu.be/dR-EogvgAWQ 

Like what you see? GET DRADT GUIDE HERE

Jesse A Morse, MD is a fellowship-trained sports medicine doctor practicing in Miami, Florida. He specializes in Regenerative medicine, musculoskeletal ultrasound, fractures and, non-surgical orthopedics. Dr. Morse treats professional athletes regularly and understands their mindset and how to get them back on the field. Born and raised in Worcester, Massachusetts, Dr. Morse grew up watching the Larry Bird led Boston Celtics, the Wade Boggs and Pedro Martinez led Boston Red Sox, and then the Tom Brady led Patriots win multiple championships. Dr. Morse has served on the medical staff of multiple professional teams, including the Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays, and the Miami Marlins. In his spare time, Dr. Morse loves exercising, sports cars, and playing fantasy sports/DFS.

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NFL Week 3 Waiver Wire

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Week 2 had a huge amount of injuries and with that said players become available to add for your fantasy teams. Here are the more important players that should be considered to make your team stronger.

Justin Herbert-QB-LAC (ESPN 1.7%) (Yahoo-3%)

Herbert didn’t even know he was going to start and to throw for 311 yards and two touchdowns is impressive for the first-round rookie. Head coach Anthony Lynn has already mentioned Tyrod Taylor is still the starting quarterback. Herbert is primed to take over, and it shouldn’t be long before he does.

Next up: Carolina Panthers

Mike Davis-RB-CAR (ESPN-8%) (Yahoo-7%)

It’s quite surprising that Mike Davis has been in the league for six seasons and has done nearly nothing. He has only five touchdowns and 890 yards on 248 carries, a paltry 3.6 yards per carry average while playing for four teams (SF, SEA, CHI, CAR) in that span. The good news is that he won the back-up job behind Christian McCaffrey in an RPO offense that likes to feature the running back. Davis caught eight balls last week. He had only one carry for one yard.

Next up: Los Angeles Chargers

Darrell Henderson-RB-LAR (ESPN 45.7) (Yahoo 30%)

Henderson was an afterthought entering Week 2; however, after the injuries to Cam Akers (ribs) and Malcolm Brown (finger), he was thrust into action and was phenomenal. On 14 touches, Henderson put up 121 total yards and a touchdown. He was a third-round selection in 2019, so he has the talent; the question is volume and opportunity?

Next up: Buffalo Bills

Joshua Kelley-RB-LAC (ESPN 26.4%) (Yahoo 39%)

This isn’t just Austin Ekeler’s backfield. Kelley has demonstrated he has something to say after a terrific Week 1. He followed that up in Week 2 with 25 touches and 113 total yards. He caught two passes for 49 yards and is doing a lot of damage with stacked boxes (31.4% per Next Gen Stats). The Chargers also like him in goal-line situations. Ekeler won’t go away, but Kelley is here to stay.

Next up: Carolina Panthers

Others to consider: Myles Gaskin (MIA), Dion Lewis/Wayne Gallman (NYG), Jerick McKinnon (SF), Devonta Freeman (FA).

Corey Davis-WR-TEN (ESPN 27.2%) (Yahoo-42%)

Perhaps Corey Davis just needed to go undrafted in many leagues to finally show up on the NFL stage. After several years of giving fantasy owners next to nothing, he has shown up in the first two weeks of the 2020 season. Davis has put together back-to-back double-digit fantasy performances. With A.J. Brown out, he should continue to benefit from Ryan Tannehill lighting up the scoreboard.

Next up: Minnesota Vikings

Russell Gage-WR-ATL (ESPN 20%) (Yahoo-23%)

Can an offense actually support three wide receivers? At this point, it appears as if Matt Ryan is capable. Gage is the clear number three of the group with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley as 1A and 1B. Gage, as the third receiver, was excellent in Week 2 with six receptions for 46 yards and a touchdown, and it builds on his Week 1 nine catches for 114 yards. It is all building on top of his eight targets per game from Weeks 12-17 in 2019. Gage is legit.

Next up: Chicago Bears

Mecole Hardman-WR-KC (ESPN 43%) (Yahoo-36%)

The Chiefs are a high-octane offense. We, as fantasy owners, want as many pieces as we can get. Now with the injury to Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman has an opportunity to be that piece. Hardman is in his second season and tallied two receptions for 30-yards against the Chargers.

Next up: Baltimore Ravens

Others to consider: Marquez Valdes Scantling/Allen Lazard (GB), Keelan Cole/Chris Conley (Jax), Golden Tate (NYG), Robby Anderson (CAR).

Jonnu Smith-TE-TEN (ESPN-40.3%) (Yahoo-68%)

Smith has been buried by Delanie Walker over the past few seasons, but now it’s his time to shine. In Week 1, Smith caught four passes for 36 yards and a score. In Week 2, he matched his receptions for 84 yards and two touchdowns. In total, Smith has8 catches for 120 yards and three TDs and is shining brightly.

Next up: Minnesota Vikings

Others to consider Mike Gesicki (MIA), Jordan Reed (SF), Dalton Schultz (DAL), Mo Allie-Cox (IND), Drew Sample (CIN).

 

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Week 1 NFL Waiver Wire

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Gardner Minshew-QB-JAC (ESPN 14.9%) (Yahoo 26%)

After completing 19 of 20 passes and throwing for three touchdowns, Minshew could be an exciting player to have on your radar as someone who could sneak into the top-12 by season end. Minshew will also add yards with his legs. He gained 19 on five carries. There should continue to be a ton of volume for Minshew as the Jaguars defense is lacking and the reliable weapons at wide receiver (DJ Chark and Laviska Shenault).

Next up: @TEN

Nyheim Hines-RB-IND (ESPN 34.4%) (Yahoo 18%)

When the Colts drafted Jonathan Taylor, it appeared along with Marlon Mack that Nyheim Hines would be regulated to a third-down role. After Week 1, Hines is more the bell-cow than a regulated running back. Hines finished with 28 yards on seven carries and caught eight balls for 45 yards and a score. Taylor (9-22) did have more carries and should continue to handle the rock. However, Hines led the team in receptions and was second in targets behind Parris Campbell and TY Hilton. Now, with Marlon Mack out for the season with a torn Achilles, Hines will continue to have a huge role behind a great offensive line.

Next up: MIN

James Robinson-RB-JAX (ESPN 29.1%) (Yahoo 56%)

Robinson was brought in as an Undrafted Free Agent, and with an injury to Devine Ozigbo and Ryquell Armstead testing positive for Covid-19, he was thrust into action. One of the reasons he was not drafted was a horrid 4.64 40-time, but he didn’t play that way. Robinson gained 62-yards rushing on 16 attempts and caught a pass that Robinson took for another 28. He is the bell-cow until further notice, and the duo of Armstead and Ozigbo is not much of a threat.

Next up: @TEN

Joshua Kelley-RB-LAC (ESPN 11.3%) (Yahoo 13%)

Kelley was drafted in the fourth round and was impressive in backing up Austin Ekeler. Kelley’s 12 carries netted him 60 yards and a touchdown, and he was heavily used inside the ten-yard line. He was not targeted but had a long for 26 yards. Many speculated that Justin Jackson would be the number two back. Kelley must have stolen that spot over a Zoom meeting (lol).

Next up: KC

Parris Campbell-WR-IND (ESPN 29.8%) (Yahoo 22%)

Campbell tied the team lead in targets (9), tied in receptions (6), and led the team in yards (71). Philip Rivers consistently looked for him on slant patterns, and they make an excellent tandem. Hilton and Campbell look as though they can be a dangerous set of weapons as rookie Michael Pittman learns the ropes. Campbell is in his second season after missing most of last year with injuries. He suffered from a broken hand, a fractured foot, and a sports hernia. With a 94th percentile SPARQ score on his athleticism, he should continue to be a threat downfield.

Next up: MIN

Anthony Miller-WR-CHI (ESPN 38.2) (Yahoo 56%)

Miller caught four of his six targets for 76 yards and a touchdown. His score came from 27-yards out to give the Bears the lead in the last two minutes of the game. Miller saw some action in the slot and looks primed to elevate his game in year three. It is still Allen Robinson as the number one wideout. Nevertheless, if Mitchell Trubisky can demonstrate why he was chosen early in the first round, the sky could be the limit for Miller.

Next up: NYG

Dallas Goedert-TE-PHI (ESPN 27.2%) (Yahoo 56%)

The tight end is a significant weapon for the Eagles, as we have seen with Zach Ertz over his career. However, Philadelphia and Ertz have been in contract negotiations, and things don’t look promising. Perhaps, they have soured on him and want to see what Goedert can them? In Week 1, Goedert caught eight passes on nine targets for 101 yards and a score.

Next up: LAR

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2020 NFL Rookie Profiles

Jesse Morse M.D.

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Looking at all the rookie running backs, it’s former LSU stud Clyde Edwards-Helaire who has the best opportunity to perform. Not only is he the first running back off the board, and with Damien Williams declaring out due to the Coronavirus, he has nobody standing in his way.  Edwards-Helaire has struggled with his blocking but will be used heavily in the passing game and near the goal line.

Dynasty Spin: Edwards-Helaire should be the first selection in rookie drafts and a late first-round or early second-rounder in start-ups.

Video Link:https://youtu.be/Lf3oGhE7Os0 

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Jonathan Taylor

Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor’s future is much brighter than his rookie season. His teammate Marlon Mack isn’t going to disappear, and they will make more of a “one-two punch” as offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni pointed out. Throw in the CoronaVirus and the apparent delay due to no pre-season games and limited practices, it slows Taylor’s growth. Taylor offers little in the passing game and has a similar running style as Mack.

Dynasty Spin: Even though Marlon Mack’s contract expires in 2020, it doesn’t mean they won’t sign him to return. This puts a considerable limitation on Taylor’s value, as does his lack of receiving skill. He is currently the second running back off the board in rookie drafts and a late second round to early third-rounder in start-up leagues. 

Video Link:https://youtu.be/CyGQjHJfiPI 

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Cam Akers 

Cam Akers is a complete and underrated running back coming out of Florida State. A good mixture of size and tremendous speed. He can run between-the-tackles and with great instincts. Akers won’t push many piles but has good balance and will fight for yards after contact. Which he will receive a lot of with the bad Rams offensive line. Akers will battle in pass protection. Akers could outdistance himself from Darrell Henderson and Malcolm Brown. Still, Sean McVay has recently said he wants a running game by committee.

Dynasty Spin: Akers is among the three to five running backs going after Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jonathan Taylor. It just depends on your fancy where he goes among D’Andre Swift and J.K. Dobbins. Akers is going as a late fourth round to early fifth-round selection in start-ups. 

Video Link: https://youtu.be/uAGOH9cpGug 

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D’Andre Swift 

D’Andre Swift is going to get there in a hurry. He has excellent burst and top-end speed. Swift does most of his damage taking the ball around the end, but can also be valid between the tackles. He is a complete back with great vision and solid route runner. Swift is excellent in pass protection. He just needs to hang onto the ball and will battle Kerryon Johnson for volume, but this should be Swift’s backfield for a significant portion of it.

Dynasty Spin: Swift is typically the third to fifth running back off the board in rookie drafts. He should be considered anywhere between a late third to an early fourth-rounder in start-ups.  

Video Link:https://youtu.be/sfEqnqQoavU 

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Ke’Shawn Vaughn

Ke’Shawn Vaughn has functional lateral mobility. He will make defenders miss in the hole and is decisive when running between the tackles. Vaughn will rip off yards in chunks when hitting the seam. He will run hard and has a good balance upon contact. Vaughn won’t bull-doze defenders or a short-yardage back. Vaughn runs precise routes. He will need to battle Ronald Jones, LeSean McCoy, and Dare Ogunbowale for volume in a high passing offense.

Dynasty Spin: It’s challenging to see Vaughn as a bell-cow in this offense. Jones is signed through the 2021 season, and he is showing enough life to sustain that contract. Both can complement each other. Jones is more of a touchdown guy for the Bucs, and Vaughn is the PPR. Vaughn is going in the first round in rookie leagues, and around a late 7th round or early 8th rounder in start-ups.

Video Link:https://youtu.be/JejbZHw-9_4

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J.K. Dobbins

JK Dobbins is surrounded by talent at the running back position in 2020. Still, he should see more clarity moving into 2021 with Melvin Ingram and Gus Edwards, most likely departing by the start of 2021. Dobbins has quick feet with a great burst through the hole. He is elusive in the open-field and will destroy arm tackles. A great pass protector only allowing four in 140 opportunities. He doesn’t catch the ball well.

Dynasty Spin: Dobbins’ ceiling will always be capped by Lamar Jackson’s running ability, and he doesn’t appear to be a bell-cow. He will need to work on his receiving game, but is in a great offense and should have plenty of opportunities to score fantasy points. Dobbins draft capital has been up and down between Cam Akers and D’Andre Swift. He is a first-round selection in rookie leagues and going around a late third to an early fourth-rounder in start-ups.

Video Link:https://youtu.be/izdpq0rIP4w 

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Zack Moss

Zack Moss is a power back with great determination and the balance to pick up extra yards. He will continue running after the first contact, and his playing speed is faster than his time. Moss, for a more massive back, has good hands and is obviously tough to bring down. He has a low-center-of-gravity and deceptive jump cuts. A willing pass blocker with the size and strength to hold his ground.

Dynasty Spin: Moss is coming off an injury and will have to share time with Devin Singletary and, therefore, will be limited for volume. Moss is slated to play the Frank Gore role. Gore in 2019 rushed 166 times for 599 yards and two scores in 16 games played. Moss is going either before A.J. Dillon or right after in rookie drafts, making him the seventh or eighth running back off the board. In start-ups, he is going around the 9th or 10th round.

Video Link:https://youtu.be/epazjyV8kws 

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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson is going to play running back after being used as both a wide receiver and a runner. He shows a burst through the hole and after the catch. Gibson has excellent top-end speed, which makes him dangerous in space. He will pick up yards after the contact. Gibson didn’t carry the ball much at Memphis, only 33 carries, but Gibson demonstrates instincts and patience. He doesn’t have much ability at running routes but can be used to move around the formation. Gibson is electric and can be a huge playmaker for Washington. 

Dynasty Spin: It is difficult to pinpoint precisely where Gibson fits in for this offense. At running back, Washington already has Adrian Peterson, Bryce Love, Peyton Barber, and J.D. McKissic. Therefore, what is his volume? How will he be used? Gibson is an exciting playmaker.  He is going in the late second round in rookie drafts and as a late 12 round or early 13th round selection in start-ups.

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Anthony McFarland

Anthony McFarland has terrific acceleration and can elude tackles, and he does have a home run capability. He is a nightmare for defenders in space. McFarland can take the ball around the corner and has an intense burst through the hole.  A tough runner who will battle for yards after contact. McFarland is a threat after the catch. He will need to run lower to the ground but holds well in pass protection. McFarland will have his work cut out for him to garner volume. The Steelers don’t regularly use multiple backs, and James Conner is the starter. Throw in competition from Jaylen Samuels, Benny Snell, Trey Edmunds, and perhaps Wendell Smallwood.

Dynasty Spin: Conner has had difficulty staying healthy and is a free agent after this season. Conner’s possibility of moving on will open up a slot for McFarland going into the future, but will he ever be a bell-cow? McFarland is going in the late second round to early third in rookie drafts and in the 15th to 16th round in start-ups.

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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon is a bulldozer and ran for over 1,100 yards in each of his past three seasons at Boston College. He is an in-between tackle runner. Dillon moves well for his size and has an insane contact balance. A train full-steam ahead is an adequate description of Dillon. He has a thick lower body and will pick up big yards when Dillon hits the seam. Dillon did have a lot of carries at BCU and will absorb a lot of contacts, so wear and tear is a concern. He also has to battle Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams for volume.

Dynasty Spin: Dillon could find more chances at volume in 2021 as 2020 is the last year on both Williams’ and Jones’ contract. Therefore, the door is open for Dillon to be the bell-cow unless Green Bay signs Jones to an extension. Dillon is going in the late second round or early third in rookie drafts. He is a late 12th round selection or early 13th in start-ups.

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Darrynton Evans

Darrynton Evans is explosive with fantastic top-end speed. He has burst through the hole and is instinctive in the open-field. Evans is a zone runner with great one-cut ability. Evans is average when it comes to being elusive and contact balance. He does have great vision and is patient. A threat after the catch and has experience at wide receiver. Evans has one significant roadblock ahead of him in Derrick Henry, but he makes a beautiful complimentary piece.

Dynasty Spin: Henry signed his extension. A four-year deal worth $50 million, therefore, Evans is regulated to back up duties or only a third-down role. He is an exciting player. Unfortunately, there is just a limited volume. Evans is going at the start of the third round in rookie leagues and early 14th to 15th round in startups.

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Lynn Bowden

Lynn Bowden is a jack of all trades but master of none. He is a playmaker and tough enough to fight for the extra yards. Bowden is elusive but lacks the focus that led him to dropped passes. He will, at times, carry the ball recklessly. Bowden took over at quarterback during the second half of 2019 at Kentucky. He has good vision but isn’t much of a threat downfield as he is after the catch. Not a large catch radius. 

Dynasty Spin: Where does Bowden fit, and what is his role? If the Raiders ran the “Wildcat,” he would have significant value, but for the most part, he seems to be more of a Taysom Hill than a player that can garner fantasy points. He is going in the fourth round in rookie drafts and nearly undrafted in start-ups.

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WRs

Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy is the best route running rookie. He does have a thin frame, so he might find it challenging to find room to run against press coverage. Jeudy does have the speed to win on deep routes and nearly impossible to bring down in the open field. Jeudy will drop a few he shouldn’t, and without facing much press coverage at Alabama, it is unknown how well he can beat it. He will find the soft spots in zone coverage and will help his quarterback locate him during scramble drills. Jeudy has excellent body control. His competition will mostly be with tight end Noah Fant.

Dynasty Spin: Jeudy should fit in nicely with Courtland Sutton and give Drew Lock another option to throw the ball to. The passing offense was atrocious last season, and that should change with Jeudy now in the fold. Look for Jeudy to run the short to intermediate routes and be a stud if he can beat press coverage. Jeudy is going in the first round in rookie drafts and late third to early fourth in start-ups.

Video Link:

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Jalen Reagor

Jalen Reagor is a smaller receiver who has good top-end speed. He is quick and has the balance to keep on his feet after contact. Reagor will break tackles but lacks the frame to consistently win 50-50 balls downfield. He will threaten defenses vertically. Reagor doesn’t have much room to garner volume with both DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery. Still, neither of these receivers have remained healthy long enough to be a considerable threat. It is unclear if JJ Arcega-Whiteside can turn it around in season two. Also, Philadelphia drafted John Hightower and Quez Watkins.

Dynasty Spin: Reagor does have 2020 value, but he delivers more in the long-term. There is just too much surrounding him to be very effective unless there is an injury or two. He will have a solid quarterback in Carson Wentz, throwing him the ball and should be the number one receiver entering the 2021 season. Reagor is going in the first round in rookie drafts and in the early fifth in start-ups.

Video Link:

 

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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb is a beast. He is one of the strongest wide receivers in the draft class and creates yards after the catch, breaking tackles on a routine basis. Lamb will make the contested/acrobatic catch with ease. He is a good route runner and can break off press coverage, even though he didn’t see that coverage a lot at the college level. Lamb will leverage his stems and can set up defensive backs. He isn’t the fastest of wideouts but has excellent instincts with stop-start techniques. There is now a crowd at wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and now Lamb. 

Dynasty Spin: With the Cowboys selection of Lamb, it’s a clear case of drafting talent over need. Unfortunately for Lamb, Cooper is locked up through 2021 when they have an out for the 2022 season. The same for Gallup. Until then, it’s going to be difficult for Lamb to get any volume to make him worth the draft price he is going. In rookie drafts, he is being selected in the first round as one of the top wide receivers off the board. In start-ups, he is going in the fourth round.

Video Link:

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Michael Pittman Jr

Michael Pittman has excellent size and a reliable pass catcher. His top-end speed is average, but it is also deceptive. Pittman will pick up yards after initial contact. He is a tough runner but doesn’t have a second gear. However, Pittman has enough to threaten vertically and is capable of bringing down over-the-shoulder throws.  He does lack a trump card but plays to his size with great size and length. Pittman makes a great compliment to T.Y. Hilton. He will also have to fight for volume with Parris Campbell and Zach Pascal.

Dynasty Spin: Pittman gives the Colts a massive weapon near the goal line and an excellent target downfield for Philip Rivers. However, Rivers is at the end of his career, and there is no firm starter waiting in the wings. Indianapolis drafted Jacob Eason, but he isn’t confirmed to take over once Rivers leaves. Pittman can be the number one receiver once Hilton departs, but until then, he will be their number two. Pittman is going in the late first-round or early second-round in rookie drafts and 8th round in start-ups.

 

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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk is an average route runner with a great burst to separate himself from coverage. He will dominate man-to-man defenses and is always a threat to hit the home run. Aiyuk is still raw and learning the position and will need to refine his route running. He is on the shorter side and needs to be more consistent catching the ball, but he tracks the ball well and has excellent body control. Aiyuk is a fast enough threat on his vertical routes and is a benefit on special teams.

Dynasty Spin: Aiyuk’s role will be what fans saw of Emmanuel Sanders. A player that will go deep and exploit the defense that is encroaching on the run. It may be more with the Deebo Samuel injury, but that is in flux. Outside of that, there isn’t much competition facing Aiyuk. He is going as a late second to early third-round selection in rookie leagues while going in the ninth to tenth round in start-ups.

Video Link:

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Henry Ruggs III

Henry Ruggs has elite speed and will be the fastest receiver on the field, in most competitions. He will need to develop his route running but has home run capability once the ball is in his hands. Ruggs transitions upfield with ease and is muscularly strong. He will be tested on press coverage and has good strength in his hands as he only dropped the ball once in 2019. Ruggs’ will need to compete with Tyrell Williams, but Ruggs should win. The offense scheme is probably what is worrisome for Ruggs. How will he be used, and can Derek Carr be productive with him? 

Dynasty Spin: Ruggs’ speed is super-human, but so was John Ross and many other wide receivers who have not performed to expectations. However, it doesn’t mean that Ruggs won’t be a stud. The Raiders’ conservative offense is a bit worrisome, and can Carr utilize Ruggs in a way to maximize his talents? There is a massive ceiling for him if it all works. Ruggs is going as a late first-round receiver in rookie leagues and as a seventh-rounder in start-ups.

Video Link:

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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson is a reliable pass-catcher with a massive catch radius. Jefferson runs consistent routes. He rarely faced press coverage in the slot. He will also run a faster time than his tape represents. Jefferson does find holes in coverage and demonstrates reasonable body control. He will catch the ball in stride with average burst after the catch. He can threaten vertically, but there is concern about his separation skills on the outside. Jefferson is instinctive. 

Dynasty Spin: Jefferson won’t have competition outside of Adam Thielen as the Minnesota Vikings traded Stefon Diggs to the Buffalo Bills. However, he will be the number two receiver in an offense that runs more than throws. Also, can Kirk Cousins carry more than one receiver to fantasy relevance? Another question is the role for Jefferson, will he be in the slot, wing, both? Even with these unknowns, Jefferson should be a solid WR2/3 for many dynasty teams. He is currently going in the late first round in rookie drafts and in the sixth round in start-ups.

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Denzel Mims

Denzel Mims will take the top off coverage and can stack defenders when running vertical routes. He has a rare blend of size, length, and top-end speed. Mims will run hard and can break tackles after the catch. When in the red zone, his size, frame, and body control makes him a threat. Mims makes great circus-style catches but is raw and will struggle with drops. His route running needs to improve, but dominates cornerbacks and will win the 50/50 challenges. 

Dynasty Spin: Mims does not have much competition in front of him. Breshad Perriman and Jamison Crowder are his most significant threats. Therefore, it will be entirely on him and his cohesion with Sam Darnold to make a career. Mims is going in the late first or early second in rookie leagues while going in the ninth round in start-ups.

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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins offers a big target and an outstanding catching radius. At Clemson, he was averaging 18.1 yards per catch. Higgins has good playing speed and is good at running vertical routes. His routes are not very explosive, but he makes sound judgments when running them. Higgins makes good separation and can be deceptive after the catch. He is tall and lanky, which will help him win the 50/50 balls. Unfortunately, Higgins has to battle a slew of other receivers for volume. A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, and John Ross. Even role players Auden Tate and Alex Erickson could be disruptive.

Dynasty Spin: Even though Higgins has to battle his way through for volume in 2020, this should clear up for him in 2021. Green and Ross will most likely be gone, leaving Higgins and Boyd as the future wide receiving tandem. Joe Burrow will also be crucial to Higgins’ growth. At this point, Higgins is going in the 8th round in start-ups and the late first or early second in rookie leagues

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Laviska Shenault Jr

Laviska Shenault is a versatile weapon who has excellent size, but times at a below-average speed and has average length. Shenault is capable of moving around the line of scrimmage to create favorable matchups. He is a threat with the ball in his hands, and the Jaguars will also use him in running plays. Shenault needs to get better at running routes but tracks the ball well. There are injury concerns. He has the size to win against corners, safeties, and linebackers. He did have a mediocre combine, but that isn’t a death knell. 

Dynasty Spin: Shenault and Chark make a good pair of wide receivers that can stretch the field. Shenault will also be used like the 49ers used Deebo Samuel for added benefit. However, he is in a limited production role as Jacksonville is a primarily running team until further notice. Shenault is going late in the second round in rookie leagues and the 10th round in start-ups.

Video Link: https://youtu.be/XsZO5msmQUs 

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Antonio Gandy-Golden

Antonio Gandy-Golden is a big target who can make the highlight type catches. He is a natural hands catcher with top-end speed. He does have long strides and can make one-on-one catches downfield. Gandy-Golden plays up to his size and attacks the football. He lacks burst and separation skills but has excellent yards after the catch ability. Gandy-Golden comes from the small school of Liberty, so the competition was not top-notch.

Dynasty Spin: Gandy-Golden should be in competition to start right away with Terry McLaurin flanking the other side of the line of scrimmage. He will also have a volume competition with Steven Sims and Trey Quinn. Gandy-Golden will also have to hope Dwayne Haskins can be better in his second season at the helm. He is going in the third round in rookie leagues and the 18th round in start-ups.

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Bryan Edwards

Bryan Edwards is a smooth route runner who is a big receiver with average length. Edwards does have top-end speed and locates pockets in the zone. He will run hard after the catch but lacks a second gear. Edwards will need to get better at catching passes at a more consistent level. Edwards will make the highlight-reel catch and has good instincts. Edwards stock plummeted due to a foot injury. Still, he can beat press coverage and has excellent separation skills after the catch. Edwards does have competition with Tyrell Williams, Nelson Agholor, Hunter Renfrow, and Henry Ruggs for volume consumption.

Dynasty Spin:  Williams is tied in with the Raiders until 2022, but Las Vegas has an out after the 2020 season. Agholor is an Unrestricted Free Agent at the end of this year, and Renfrow is more of the slot option. Therefore, Edwards should have more clearance to eat after this year is over. He is going as a second or third round option in rookie drafts and as a late fourth to an early fifth in start-ups. 

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