Name: Will Fuller
Age: 24 years old
Team: Houston Texans
2016 Stats: 14 games, 47 Rec, 635 Rec yds, 2 TD
2017 Stats: 10 games, 28 Rec, 423 Rec yds, 7 TD
2018 Projections: 16 games, 48 Rec, 689 Rec yds, 5 TD
Projected 2018 Fantasy Value: WR39
Injury: Fuller missed the beginning of 2017 after suffering a broken clavicle on August 2nd. Fuller did not return to game action until week four against the Titans. Later in the season Fuller also sustained broken ribs which held him out an additional three contests. At the end of the year, Fuller dealt with a knee issue which required a scope to be performed at the conclusion of the year.
What if he takes a helmet to this same body part?
When considering Fuller’s injuries from 2017 there is certainly a possibility another blow to the ribs and/or clavicle exacerbates his previous injuries. Sometimes guys with rib issues will wear extra protection underneath of their pads in order to reduce the risk of re-injury, this would substantial reduce the impact to Fuller’s ribs.
2018 Health Outlook: Fuller dealt with a host of different injuries in 2017 which lends to question his durability. Fuller is ready to go for 2018 and does not have any restrictions at this time. The question becomes is the risk of his previous injuries worth the potential reward he could provide fantasy owners? The answer is yes, however, only for the right price.
Risk of Re-Injury: 30-35% chance of re-injury for Fuller’s ribs and/or clavicle, his knee is solid following his scope and he should be good to go.
Recommendations: Fuller has a ton of upside IF he can stay healthy. He is coming into the season without restriction and is certainly worth a look for your fantasy squad. Playing opposite of DeAndre Hopkins, Fuller will draw the attention of teams’ second and third corners, giving him the opportunity for a huge 2018 campaign. Consider the third-year man out of Notre Dame a low end WR2/high end WR3.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Odell Beckham Jr.
OBJ’s offseason was filled with controversy after being traded from the New York Football Giants to the Cleveland Browns for Jabrill Peppers along with a 1st & 3rd round pick. What is important is that Beckham got a HUGE upgrade at QB, with Baker Mayfield slinging him the rock now. He’s now reunited with college buddy Jarvis Landry who can settle into likely a much more comfortable role. He also joins David Njoku, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in what might be a top 10 offense in 2019. What about OBJ’s 2018 season? Well despite playing with a quickly deteriorating Eli Manning, OBJ still managed a line of 77 / 1,052 / 6 TD in 12 games, managing to top 100 yards or a TD in 8 of those 12 games. Realistically OBJ could probably have played in 15 of the Giants’ 16 games if they weren’t out of playoff contention. Beckham was dealing with a quad injury and usually these are not overly concerning. Definitely will not affect him in the long term. Unlike the hamstring, which has a tendency to reinjure and linger (see Leonard Fournette), quad injuries heal relatively quickly and are not overly concerning in the long run. He’ll get banged up but I don’t consider him ‘injury prone.’ I personally expect OBJ to be top 5 WR in 2019, and could easily end up being the WR1. Still only 26, and now on a potential sneaky playoff contender, he’s first-round talent being drafted in the second round (especially with how few bell-cow RBs there are right now). Between Juju, DHop, Davante Adams, Julio and OBJ its going to be an awesome year for wide receivers. Draft him with confidence!
Injury Risk: Low. 2/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-D’Onta Foreman
Foreman is coming off Achilles tendon surgery from late 2017, yes so its been well over a year. I knew, because of the bad data with these injuries, that Foreman would NOT be very effective in 2018. I told everyone who would listen that. Maybe you’ll listen this time. So how did he do in 2018? He rushed a total of 8 times for 2 yards. Will he be better in 2019? Yes. How much better? That’s really anyone’s guess.
Achilles injuries. Let me rephrase that, Achilles injuries in NFL running backs. Bad combination. The data supports this statement. I really want Foreman to break the mold, and maybe he will. But until that happens, I want nothing to do with a RB coming off of an Achilles tear. Does he have a chance to be a sleeper in 2019? Yes, but it depends on what HOU does to its O-line. The good news is that the unexciting Lamar Miller is still on the team so Foreman doesn’t have much competition. Now he just needs to show that he got his ‘burst’ back. You’ve received a fair warning. At the appropriate risk/reward part of the draft, Foreman could be a steal, just don’t draft him as your RB2 or RB3.
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Will Fuller
Fuller has loads of talent, I don’t think there’s a question about that. The problem is he seems to get injured a bit too often. His games played since entering the league is heading in the wrong direction: 14 (in 2016) to 10 (in 2017) to only 7 games in 2018. Let’s review his injuries. In 2016 he suffered with hamstring injuries and then a knee sprain. In 2017 his season started off the wrong way; he missed the entire preseason and the first 3 games with a broken collarbone, then he missed 3 more games in November/December with broken ribs and finally had minor knee surgery after leaving Week 17 early with a left knee injury. Then last year he suffered a moderate hamstring strain in August, costing him the regular-season opener. Finally, Fuller tore his right ACL in late October. So over the past 3 years Fuller has injured his hamstring at least twice, broke his collarbone and multiple ribs, tweaked his left knee and tore his right ACL. Can you say injury prone? Whether he’s the #2 WR for Watson and the Texans, his risk is simply too high for me. I’m completely fading him in 2019 fantasy unless its at a serious discount. (like round 8 or later).
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.