Name: Odell Beckham Jr.
Age: 25 years old, he turns 26 in November
Team: New York Giants
2015 Stats: 15 games, 96 rec for 1,450 yds, 13 TD.
2016 Stats: 16 games, 101 rec for 1,367 yds, 10 TD.
2017 Stats: 4 games, 25 rec for 302 yds, 3 TD.
2018 Projections: 16 games, 96 rec for 1,257 yds, 8 TD.
Projected 2018 Fantasy Rank (FantasyPros): WR3
– Beckham injured his ankle during the Giants’ 2ndpreseason game mid-August last season.
– He suffered an MRI-confirmed high-ankle sprain, which has a normal RTP of 6-8 weeks.
– Beckham only rested for 4 weeks and returned slowly in Week 2 and then showed up in a big way scoring 2 TDs in Week 3.
– [BUT THEN] Beckham reportedly reinjured his ankle in Week 4 but still managed to suit up in Week 5.
– [Typical young athlete] he likely pushed it instead of resting, Beckham rolled his left ankle and ended up fracturing his fibula, the outer lower leg bone that attaches to the outside of your ankle.
(Decreased proprioception, likely on pain killers, not as flexible, much easier to land awkwardly)
– [BOOM, just like that] Beckham underwent season-ending surgery in early October, with a full recovery expected.
[FASTFORWARD to Spring 2018]
– Beckham was on video working out at UCLA but was not able to make strong cuts off the surgically repaired left ankle.
– The surgery that Beckham had usually carries a 6 to 9 month RTP, which means he should be near the end of his regular rehab by now
– but mind you the rehab is truly never done.
– Beckham’s offseason has been filled with new contract talk, trade rumors, as well as a concerning video that surfaced in March regarding some hotel room in I think Paris. Any fines coming??
– The good news is that Beckham reported to the Giants’ voluntary minicamp in late-April, but he was not fully cleared yet.
– In early June, Beckham was cleared to practice but he did not participate in team drills, likely as part of a contract holdout.
– This holdout may continue throughout training camp, which will cost Beckham $40k per day if he does.
Will Beckham’s ankle ever be at the same strength and flexibility as before his surgery? No.
2018 Health Outlook:
– Coming of a pretty serious left ankle injury that required surgery, Beckham should be close to about 80% by now.
– Personally believe that it will take a couple practices, scrimmages, and games before he feels comfortable jumping, pushing off and cutting on his surgically repaired ankle.
– It’s unclear how many of the ankle ligaments were damaged, to what severity, as unfortunately these never truly heal, instead there is scar tissue that develops around the ligament.
– Beckham’s going to have decrease flexibility naturally, decreases sense of touch and then there’salways the risk of re-rolling his ankle on any hard cut, jump or if someone lands on him.
Risk of Re-Injury: Difficult to determine, as it is definitely not 0%, likely somewhere around 30%.
– All the discussion at Giants camp is not about Beckham’s on-the-field performance, but instead regarding his contract and extension talk. So I guess that’s good news.
– Amid the contract issues, remember that Beckham suffered a pretty significant ankle injury that ended his season prematurely.
– The good news is that it was not his knee, or even BOTH
– Beckham will take some time to get his legs back underneath him, and he will have some soreness in his ankle. Maybe this means the Giants hold him out of practices, and if he’s really banged up, he misses a game or two.
– While I don’t think Beckham will be completely comfortable on his ankle for a while (say 3 games), he should still resemble his dominant-self in 2018.
– Feel free to draft him as a top 15 WR, but personally I’m concerned enough about his reinjury risk to not draft him as a top 5 WR. Likely where you will need to draft him to get him. But if he falls, DRAFT HIM, I GIVE YOU MY STAMP OF APPROVAL!
2018 NFL Injury Guide: Marqise Lee
Name: Marqise Lee
Age: 26 Years Old
Team: Jacksonville Jaguars
2015 Stats: 10 Games, 15 Rec, 191 Yards, 1 TD
2016 Stats: 16 Games, 63 Rec, 851 Yards, 3 TD
2017 Stats: 14 Games, 56 Rec, 702 Yards, 3 TD
2018 Projections: 60 Rec, 784 Yards, 5 TD
Projected 2018 Fantasy Value: WR 48
Injury: Lee suffered a sprained ankle in Week 15 of the 2017 season. He missed significant practice time as well as the final two regular season games. He would return for Jacksonville’s Playoff run, as he caught seven passes on 15 targets for 69 yards and no touchdowns. While the numbers seem minimal, it is important to note Jacksonville’s run-heavy offense.
2018 Health Outlook: Lee showed decent mobility to evade tackles in the AFC Championship game against New England, hinting at a good recovery going as far back as January.
Risk of Re-Injury: Though ankle sprains can be a nagging injury, Lee’s production in the Playoffs showed it wasn’t too much of a bother. He was a full participant in OTA’s and mini-camp, so it appears that any further injury would be new rather than an aggravation.
Recommendations: Jacksonville wasn’t expected to resign Lee this offseason, but was forced to after Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson both departed in Free Agency. Entering 2018, he is expected to start alongside Dede Westbrook. Even though he’s slated to start, his drop rate (12.5 %) and lack of touchdowns (three is his career high), should be concerning to fantasy owners. There should be a good selection of better receivers in round ten or later.
2018 NFL Injury Guide: Jordan Reed
Name: Jordan Reed
Team: Washington Redskins
2016 Stats: 89 targets, 66 receptions, 686 yards, 6 TD
2017 Stats: 35 targets, 27 receptions, 211 yards, 2 TD
2018 Projection: 81 targets, 58 receptions, 580 yards, 6 TD
2018 Fantasy Value: TE9
Injury: Jordan Reed frequently found himself on the Washington Redskins’ injury report once again in 2017. He was placed on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list on July 26th with a left big toe injury.
It was later reported on September 10th that the toe was fractured and it would affect him all season. Reed was able to suit up for Week 1 without getting injured but was forced to leave Week 2’s matchup with the Rams with a chest injury. He missed Week 3 due to this injury before returning Week 4 although he only played 14 of 50 (26%) offensive snaps.
Reed was able to play in Week 6 & 7 but left Week 8’s matchup with a hamstring injury. He then missed Weeks 9-14 and he was placed on Injured Reserve on December 12th. He has had hamstring strains in the past so the tendons may not be as strong as they once were, predisposing him to injury.
Health Outlook: Jordan Reed’s week to week availability is certainly not guaranteed. He has not played a full season since he was drafted in 2013. He has had injuries to just about every part of his body and has had multiple concussions.
His hamstring strain is healed at this point but it was reported on April 3rd Reed had a “procedure done on his toes” according to HC Jay Gruden. Because of this surgery he did not participate in team activities during OTAs.
Risk of Re-Injury: Considering he has had hamstring strains in the past and generally has trouble staying healthy, Jordan Reed definitely has a risk of reinjuring his hamstring or aggravating a previous injury to the toe, knee, ankle, or shoulder.
As stated earlier, he has never played a full season since coming into the league so this is obviously a concern.
Recommendations: If he can stay healthy, Reed can flourish with Alex Smith at the helm in Washington. Travis Kelce was a Top-10 PPR TE since establishing his role in 2014 with Alex Smith looking his way constantly.
Redskins HC Jay Gruden has said in the past that the passing game runs through Reed but this may have changed considering his injury history. If you are willing to accept he may miss some games, Reed is a fantastic talent and could benefit from Smith being under center.
2018 NFL Injury Guide: Cameron Meredith
Name: Cameron Meredith
Team: New Orleans Saints
2016 Stats: 85 targets, 57 receptions, 758 yards, 3 TD
2017 Stats: Did not play
2018 Projection: 72 targets, 50 receptions, 654 yards, 4 TD
2018 Fantasy Value: WR50
Injury: Torn LEFT anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) and medial collateral ligament (MCL) on 8/27/2017 during a preseason game. Meredith was fortunate not to sustain a medial meniscus tear as these can often accompany ACL/MCL tears.
Health Outlook: Regaining confidence in the injured knee following an ACL or MCL tear can be difficult for athletes. Meredith will most likely be eased back into team activities as his functional strength and confidence increases. The Saints open up their season on September 9th and that will be just over one year since the injury and following surgery. If Meredith is able to regain his quadriceps strength and confidence in his knee, he should be on the field Week 1.
Risk of Re-Injury: ACL and MCL surgeries and the subsequent rehabilitation programs have taken major strides as medicine has advanced. The Illinois State product was able to participate in individual drills at Saints minicamp and hopes to be ready for Day 1 of training camp. It has been about 10.5 months since the injury occurred though, so the Saints may play it safe during training camp so the 6’3” receiver can be 100% for Week 1.
Recommendations: It is being reported that the Saints are planning on using Meredith as their slot receiver now that Willie Snead is with the Ravens. He could enjoy a career year with Drew Brees slinging him the ball or he could fall in the pecking order behind Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, and Ted Ginn Jr. Meredith is a nice post-hype target that could enjoy a productive year and some red zone looks given his height and jump ball abilities.
Update: Meredith is currently sitting out practice with an “undisclosed” injury.