Name: Leonard Fournette
Age: 23 years old
Team: Jacksonville Jaguars
2015 Stats: N/A
2016 Stats: N/A
2017 Stats: 13 games, 268 rushes for 1,040 yards, 9 TD. 36 rec for 302 yds. 2 TD
2018 Projections: 287 rushes, 1160 yds, 9.5 TD. 37 rec for 303 yds, 1 TD.
Projected 2019 Fantasy Value: RB9
Injury: Fournette’s history of ankle problems is well-documented and concerning. His final year of college had him missing 6 games with the ankle injury, with multiple “tweaks.” It was apparently a high ankle sprain, in addition to low ankle sprains and a bone bruise. Coming into the league, there were concerns about the strength and stability of the ankle, with many reports saying he’ll eventually need surgery.
It should be noted that it was his left ankle in college, and the right in the NFL.
During the preseason of his rookie season, his foot was stepped on and he missed the final 3 games, though was apparently healthy for week 1.
He sprained his ankle in week 6, which caused him to miss the next week. Week 8 was the team’s bye, giving him 2 weeks to rest it, then he was inactive again week 9 which was supposedly a health scratch due to a violation of team rules. Fournette was quoted after week 11 saying his ankle “isn’t going to be 100% until after the season”, and he felt as though he was missing power and explosiveness. He also missed week 15, again as a healthy scratch for violating team rules. All told, Fournette only played 13 games this regular season, but only missed 1 because of the injury.
Fournette also left the playoff game against the Steelers due to the ankle, but was able to return to the game.
2018 Health Outlook: Lateral ankle sprains are no joke for RBs and tend to recur. The ankle loses proprioception, which makes it significantly more likely to sprain again. Fournette is well aware of his injury and has shown signs of lack of trust in the ankle before, so it’ll be interesting to see how his cutting and lateral agility is when needing to plant on the bad foot.
Fournette is supposedly coming into camp 11 lbs lighter than last year, which should definitely help his explosiveness, but that doesn’t really decrease his risk of re-injury in a contact sport like football
Risk of Re-Injury: High to Very High
Recommendations: Draft him in round 2, just be prepared for him to miss some games, either by injury or from poor behavior as his track record isn’t great for either of those things. Have a backup plan for when he’s not playing, but enjoy the 20 point games when he is.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-D’Onta Foreman
Foreman is coming off Achilles tendon surgery from late 2017, yes so its been well over a year. I knew, because of the bad data with these injuries, that Foreman would NOT be very effective in 2018. I told everyone who would listen that. Maybe you’ll listen this time. So how did he do in 2018? He rushed a total of 8 times for 2 yards. Will he be better in 2019? Yes. How much better? That’s really anyone’s guess.
Achilles injuries. Let me rephrase that, Achilles injuries in NFL running backs. Bad combination. The data supports this statement. I really want Foreman to break the mold, and maybe he will. But until that happens, I want nothing to do with a RB coming off of an Achilles tear. Does he have a chance to be a sleeper in 2019? Yes, but it depends on what HOU does to its O-line. The good news is that the unexciting Lamar Miller is still on the team so Foreman doesn’t have much competition. Now he just needs to show that he got his ‘burst’ back. You’ve received a fair warning. At the appropriate risk/reward part of the draft, Foreman could be a steal, just don’t draft him as your RB2 or RB3.
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Will Fuller
Fuller has loads of talent, I don’t think there’s a question about that. The problem is he seems to get injured a bit too often. His games played since entering the league is heading in the wrong direction: 14 (in 2016) to 10 (in 2017) to only 7 games in 2018. Let’s review his injuries. In 2016 he suffered with hamstring injuries and then a knee sprain. In 2017 his season started off the wrong way; he missed the entire preseason and the first 3 games with a broken collarbone, then he missed 3 more games in November/December with broken ribs and finally had minor knee surgery after leaving Week 17 early with a left knee injury. Then last year he suffered a moderate hamstring strain in August, costing him the regular-season opener. Finally, Fuller tore his right ACL in late October. So over the past 3 years Fuller has injured his hamstring at least twice, broke his collarbone and multiple ribs, tweaked his left knee and tore his right ACL. Can you say injury prone? Whether he’s the #2 WR for Watson and the Texans, his risk is simply too high for me. I’m completely fading him in 2019 fantasy unless its at a serious discount. (like round 8 or later).
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Marvin Jones
The Detroit Lions’ Marvin Jones a season-ending knee injury in Week 10 and missed the team’s final 7 games. Finishing the season with 35 catches for 508 yards and 5 TDs. While the details are scarce, it appears that Jones underwent surgery on his right knee for a ‘bone bruise.’ But here’s the thing, bone bruises aren’t surgically treated. So there’s more to this picture than they are letting on. The initial comments by ESPN’s Adam Schefter stated that Jones had a bone bruise and that his ACL and MCL were intact, and Lions’ HC Patricia declined to give any additional information. Until more information comes out, all I can do is speculate. My suspicion is that Jones was dealing with a meniscal tear and possibly a grade 2 or 3 MCL tear. Neither are particularly concerning for him in 2019. If the ACL was torn, we would have known about it. And he would be out much longer than the Lions initially insinuated. To me, Jones is a solid WR3 with WR2 upside. The good news is that for the most part, Jones has been healthy and stayed injury-free for most of his career. However, there are lots of mouths to feed in the Detroit offense, especially if they go run-heavy. I’m not overly concerned about Jones’ knee injury, but of course that could all change if/when we learn exactly when his season-ending knee injury was.
Injury Risk: Moderate. 4/10.