Name: Corey Davis
Age: 23 years old
Team: Tennessee Titans
2015 Stats: N/A
2016 Stats: N/A
2017 Stats: 11 games, 34 receptions for 375 yards, 0 TD
2018 Projections: 64 receptions, 759 yards, 4.5 TD
Projected 2019 Fantasy Value: WR28
Injury: Davis injured his hamstring (unclear which side), in August during the preseason. He played weeks 1 and 2, then re-injured the same side week 2. This caused him to miss the next 5 games (plus a bye week), and he returned week 9. Depending on severity, hamstring strains can take 2-10 weeks for return to play, so he fell right in the middle of that. He was pretty unproductive during the rest of the season, but was able to finish without injury. He posted his best game of the season in the playoffs, and appeared fully healthy.
Davis has a history of hamstring strains during college (again, unclear which side).
2018 Health Outlook: Hamstring strains are very common in sports, and tend to recur. If they become chronic, they can greatly diminish performance. It doesn’t seem like Davis is at that point, as he improved over the season, but it’s something to watch out for. Assuming he’s taken his training seriously during the offseason and strengthened the hamstring, he should come into 2018 healthy and successful. Remember, OBJ missed the first 4 games of his career with a hamstring injury and hasn’t had problems since.
Risk of Re-Injury: Moderate
Recommendations: Don’t worry about the injury when deciding to draft him. I’d be more concerned about the Titans offensive struggles than his injury history. Pay attention to how the team is running during training camp and preseason. The hiring of Matt LaFleur as the new OC should help the team improve over their dreadful 2017 showing, but there’s still a lot of concerns surrounding them.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-D’Onta Foreman
Foreman is coming off Achilles tendon surgery from late 2017, yes so its been well over a year. I knew, because of the bad data with these injuries, that Foreman would NOT be very effective in 2018. I told everyone who would listen that. Maybe you’ll listen this time. So how did he do in 2018? He rushed a total of 8 times for 2 yards. Will he be better in 2019? Yes. How much better? That’s really anyone’s guess.
Achilles injuries. Let me rephrase that, Achilles injuries in NFL running backs. Bad combination. The data supports this statement. I really want Foreman to break the mold, and maybe he will. But until that happens, I want nothing to do with a RB coming off of an Achilles tear. Does he have a chance to be a sleeper in 2019? Yes, but it depends on what HOU does to its O-line. The good news is that the unexciting Lamar Miller is still on the team so Foreman doesn’t have much competition. Now he just needs to show that he got his ‘burst’ back. You’ve received a fair warning. At the appropriate risk/reward part of the draft, Foreman could be a steal, just don’t draft him as your RB2 or RB3.
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Will Fuller
Fuller has loads of talent, I don’t think there’s a question about that. The problem is he seems to get injured a bit too often. His games played since entering the league is heading in the wrong direction: 14 (in 2016) to 10 (in 2017) to only 7 games in 2018. Let’s review his injuries. In 2016 he suffered with hamstring injuries and then a knee sprain. In 2017 his season started off the wrong way; he missed the entire preseason and the first 3 games with a broken collarbone, then he missed 3 more games in November/December with broken ribs and finally had minor knee surgery after leaving Week 17 early with a left knee injury. Then last year he suffered a moderate hamstring strain in August, costing him the regular-season opener. Finally, Fuller tore his right ACL in late October. So over the past 3 years Fuller has injured his hamstring at least twice, broke his collarbone and multiple ribs, tweaked his left knee and tore his right ACL. Can you say injury prone? Whether he’s the #2 WR for Watson and the Texans, his risk is simply too high for me. I’m completely fading him in 2019 fantasy unless its at a serious discount. (like round 8 or later).
Injury Risk: High. 7/10.
NFL Draft Guide 2019-Marvin Jones
The Detroit Lions’ Marvin Jones a season-ending knee injury in Week 10 and missed the team’s final 7 games. Finishing the season with 35 catches for 508 yards and 5 TDs. While the details are scarce, it appears that Jones underwent surgery on his right knee for a ‘bone bruise.’ But here’s the thing, bone bruises aren’t surgically treated. So there’s more to this picture than they are letting on. The initial comments by ESPN’s Adam Schefter stated that Jones had a bone bruise and that his ACL and MCL were intact, and Lions’ HC Patricia declined to give any additional information. Until more information comes out, all I can do is speculate. My suspicion is that Jones was dealing with a meniscal tear and possibly a grade 2 or 3 MCL tear. Neither are particularly concerning for him in 2019. If the ACL was torn, we would have known about it. And he would be out much longer than the Lions initially insinuated. To me, Jones is a solid WR3 with WR2 upside. The good news is that for the most part, Jones has been healthy and stayed injury-free for most of his career. However, there are lots of mouths to feed in the Detroit offense, especially if they go run-heavy. I’m not overly concerned about Jones’ knee injury, but of course that could all change if/when we learn exactly when his season-ending knee injury was.
Injury Risk: Moderate. 4/10.