Name: Aaron Rodgers
Age: 34 years old
Team: Green Bay Packers
2015 Stats: 16 games, 347 completions for 3,821 yards, 31 TD/8 int, 344 rushing yards, 1 TD
2016 Stats: 16 games, 401 completions for 4,428 yards, 40 TD/7 int, 369 rushing yards, 4 TD
2017 Stats: 7 games, 154 completions for 1,675 yards, 16 TD/6 int, 126 rushing yards, 0 TD
2018 Projections: 378.7 completions for 4,162 yards, 34.1 TD/9 int, 321.1 rushing yards, 2 TD
Projected 2019 Fantasy Value: QB1
Injury: During week 6 (Oct 15), Rodgers was rolling out to his right for a pass and was pushed down, causing him to land awkwardly on his right (throwing) arm, which resulted in a clavicle fracture. Surgery was performed within the week and 2 plates and 13 screws were used to fixate the bone. Fractures tend to heal in 6-12 weeks, though full remodeling takes 1-2 years. Rodgers was able to return back to play during week 15 (9 weeks after his injury), and threw for almost 300 yards and 3 TDs. He was then placed on IR after the game, though Green Bay was eliminated from playoff contention at that time so there was no need for him to continue playing.
2018 Health Outlook: Much of the news surrounding Rodgers this offseason has been on his contract, not the clavicle. All signs point to the shoulder being fully healed and Rodgers being back to 100%. The start of the season in September will be ~11 months from the time of injury, so I think it’s a pretty safe bet that he’s near fully healed. There’s potentially some minor lingering strength deficits, but nothing severe enough to warrant any concern.
Risk of Re-Injury: Bones heal stronger at the area of previous fracture, so there’s a near 0% of re-injury of this exact injury.
Recommendations: Pay attention to his deep ball during any preseason activity to see if there’s any problem making those long throws. Look for any decrease in velocity, especially during the off-footing throws that Rodgers is known for, but I’d bet there’s nothing significant. If drafting QBs early is your thing, don’t hesitate at all taking him as QB1.